《ENGINEERING STATISTICS》PDF下载

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  • 页数:585 页
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Chapter Ⅰ Histograms and Empirical Distributions 1

1.1 Introduction 1

1.2 Empirical Distributions 2

1.3 Measures of Central Tendency 7

1.4 Measures of Variation 8

1.5 Computation of the Mean and Standard Deviation from the Frequency Table 9

Chapter Ⅱ Random Variables and Probability Distributions 13

2.1 Introduction 13

2.2 Set of All Possible Outcomes of the Experiment 14

2.3 Random Variables 16

2.4 Probability and Probability Distributions 19

2.5 Discrete Probability Distributions 22

2.6 Continuous Probability Distributions 25

2.7 Random Sample 29

2.8 Expectation 30

2.9 Moments 31

2.10 Some Properties of Random Variables 35

Chapter Ⅲ The Normal Distribution 40

3.1 Definitions 40

3.2 The Mean and Variance of the Normal Distribution 41

3.2.1 Evaluation of the Mean and Variance 43

3.3 Tables of the Normal Integral 44

3.4 Combinations of Normally Distributed Variables 48

3.5 The Standardized Normal Random Variable 49

3.6 The Distribution of the Sample Mean 50

3.7 Tolerances 51

3.8 Tolerances in Complex Items 59

3.9 The Central Limit Theorem 64

Chapter Ⅳ Other Probability Distributions 70

4.1 Introduction 70

4.2 The Chi-Square Distribution 71

4.2.1 The Chi-Square Random Variable 71

4.2.2 The Addition Theorem 74

4.2.3 The Distribution of the Sample Variance 75

4.3 The t-Distribution 78

4.3.1 The t-Random Variable 78

4.3.2 The Distribution of ? 81

4.3.3 The Distribution of the Difference Between Two Sample Means 82

4.4 The F Distribution 84

4.4.1 The F Random Variable 84

4.4.2 The Distribution of the Ratio of Two Sample Variances 86

4.5 The Binomial Distribution 87

4.5.1 The Binomial Random Variable 87

4.5.2 Tables of the Binomial Probability Distribution 89

4.5.3 The Normal Approximation to the Binomial 90

4.5.4 The Arc Sine Transformation 91

4.5.5 The Poisson Approximation to the Binomial 92

Chapter Ⅴ Significance Tests 96

5.1 Introduction 96

5.2 The Operating Characteristic Curve 98

5.3 One- and Two-Sided Procedures 103

5.4 Statistical Decision Theory 109

Chapter Ⅵ Tests of the Hypothesis about a Single Parameter 111

6.1 Tests of the Hypothesis that the Mean of a Normal Distribution Has a Specified Value when the Standard Deviation Is Known 111

6.1.1 Choice of an OC Curve 111

6.1.2 Tables and Charts for Determining Decision Rules 113

6.1.2.1 Tables and Charts for Two-Sided Procedures 113

6.1.2.2 Summary for Two-Sided Procedures 116

6.1.2.3 Tables and Charts for One-Sided Procedures 117

6.1.2.4 Summary for One-Sided Procedures 119

6.1.2.5 Tables and Charts for OC Curves 120

6.1.3 Analytical Determination of Decision Rules 122

6.1.3.1 Acceptance Regions and Sample Sizes 122

6.1.3.2 The OC Curve 125

6.1.4 Example 126

6.2 Test of the Hypothesis that the Mean of a Normal Distribution Has a Specified Value when the Standard Deviation Is Unknown 127

6.2.1 The Choice of an OC Curve 127

6.2.2 Tables and Charts for Carrying Out t Tests 129

6.2.2.1 Tables and Charts for Two-Sided Procedures 130

6.2.2.2 Summary for Two Sided Procedures 131

6.2.2.3 Tables and Charts for One-Sided Procedures 131

6.2.2.4 Summary for One-Sided Procedures 134

6.2.2.5 Tables and Charts for OC Curves 134

6.2.3 Examples of t Tests 136

6.3 Test of the Hypothesis that the Standard Deviation of a Normal Distribution Has a Specified Value 137

6.3.1 Choice of an OC Curve 137

6.3.2 Charts and Tables to Design Tests of Dispersion 138

6.3.2.1 Tables and Charts for Two-Sided Procedures 138

6.3.2.2 Summary for Two-Sided Procedure Using Tables and Charts 140

6.3.2.3 Tables and Charts for One-Sided Procedures 140

6.3.2.4 Summary for One-Sided Procedures Using Tables and Charts 143

6.3.2.5 Tables and Charts for Operating Character-istic Curves 144

6.3.3 Analytical Treatment for Chi-Square Tests 145

6.3.4 Example 147

Chapter Ⅶ Tests of Hypotheses about Two Parameters 156

7.1 Test of the Hypothesis that the Means of Two Normal Distribu-tions Are Equal when Both Standard Deviations Are Known 156

7.1.1 Choice of an OC Curve 156

7.1.2 Tables and Charts for Determining Decision Rules 157

7.1.2.1 Tables and Charts for Two-Sided Procedures 157

7.1.2.2 Summary for Two-Sided Procedures Using Tables and Charts 159

7.1.2.3 Summary for One-Sided Procedures Using Tables and Charts 159

7.1.2.4 Tables and Charts for Operating Character-istic Curves 161

7.1.3 Analytical Determination of Decision Rules 162

7.1.3.1 Acceptance Regions and Sample Sizes 162

7.1.3.2 The Operating Characteristic Curve 164

7.1.4 Example 165

7.2 Test of the Hypothesis that the Means of Two Normal Distribu-tions Are Equal Assuming that the Standard Deviations Are Unknown but Equal 166

7.2.1 Choice of an OC Curve 166

7.2.2 Tables and Charts for Carrying out Two Sample t Tests 167

7.2.2.1 Tables and Charts for Two-Sided Procedures 168

7.2.2.2 Summary for Two-Sided Procedures Using Tables and Charts 169

7.2.2.3 Summary for One-Sided Procedures Using Tables and Charts 169

7.2.2.4 Tables and Charts for Operating Character-istic Curves 170

7.2.3 Example 172

7.3 Test of the Hypothesis that the Means of Two Normal Distribu-tions Are Equal Assuming that the Standard Deviations Are Unknown and not Necessarily Equal 173

7.3.1 Test Procedure 173

7.3.2 Example 174

7.4 Test for Equality of Means when the Observations Are Paired 175

7.4.1 Test Procedure 175

7.4.2 Example 178

7.5 Non-parametric Tests 179

7.5.1 The Sign Test 179

7.5.2 The Wilcoxon Signed Rank Test 179

7.5.3 A Test for Two Independent Samples 184

7.6 Test of the Hypothesis that the Standard Deviations of Two Normal Distributions Are Equal 186

7.6.1 Choice of an OC Curve 186

7.6.2 Charts and Tables for Carrying out F Tests 187

7.6.2.1 Tables and Charts for Two-Sided Procedures 187

7.6.2.2 Summary for Two-Sided Procedures Using Tables and Charts 189

7.6.2.3 Tables and Charts for One-Sided Procedures 189

7.6.2.4 Summary for One-Sided Procedures Using Tables and Charts 191

7.6.2.5 Tables and Charts for Operating Character-istic Curves 192

7.6.3 Analytical Treatment for Tests 193

7.6.4 Example 195

7.7 Cochran’s Test for the Homogeneity of Variances 198

Chapter Ⅷ Estimation 211

8.1 Introduction 211

8.2 Point Estimation 211

8.3 Optimal Estimates 214

8.4 Confidence Interval Estimation 215

8.5 Confidence Interval for the Mean of a Normal Distribution when the Standard Deviation Is Known 216

8.5.1 Example 217

8.6 Confidence Interval For the Mean of a Normal Distribution when the Standard Deviation Is Unknown 217

8.6.1 Example 218

8.7 Confidence Interval for the Standard Deviation of a Normal Distribution 219

8.7.1 Example 219

8.8 Confidence Interval for the Differen between the Means of Two Normal Distributions when the Standard Deviations Are Both Known 220

8.8.1 Example 221

8.9 Confidence Interval for the Difference between the Means of Two Normal Distributions where the Standard Deviations Are Both Unknown but Equal 221

8.9.1 Example 222

8.10 Confidence Interval for the Ratio of Standard Deviations of Two Normal Distributions 223

8.10.1 Example 224

8.11 A Table of Point Estimates and Interval Estimates 224

8.12 Statistical Tolerance Limits 224

8.12.1 Example 228

8.13 One-Sided Statistical Tolerance Limits 229

8.13.1 Example 229

8.14 Distribution-Free Tolerance Limits 229

Chapter Ⅸ Fitting Straight Lines 238

9.1 Introduction 238

9.2 Types of Linear Relationships 242

9.3 Least Squares Estimates of the Slope and Intercept 243

9.3.1 Formulation of the Problem and Results 243

9.3.2 Theory 245

9.4 Confidence Interval Estimates of the Slope and Intercept 246

9.4.1 Formulation of the Problem and Results 246

9.4.2 Theory 248

9.5 Point Estimates and Confidence Interval Estimates of the Average Value of y for a Given x 249

9.5.1 Formulation of the Problem and Results 249

9.5.2 Theory 250

9.6 Point Estimates and Interval Estimates of the Independent Variable x Associated with an Observation on the Dependent Variable y 251

9.7 Prediction Interval for a Future Observation on the Dependent Variable 253

9.7.1 Formulation of the Problem and Results 253

9.7.2 Theory 254

9.8 Tests of Hypotheses about the Slope and Intercept 255

9.9 Estimation of the Slope B when A is Known to be Zero 257

9.10 Ascertaining Linearity 259

9.11 Transforming to a Straight Line 261

9.12 Work Sheets for Fitting Straight Lines 264

9.13 Illustrative Examples 264

9.14 Correlation 273

Chapter Ⅹ Analysis of Variance 286

10.1 Introduction 286

10.2 Model for the One-Way Classification 287

10.2.1 Fixed Effects Model 287

10.2.2 Random Effects Model 289

10.2.3 Further Examples of Fixed Effects and of the Random Effects Models 290

10.2.4 Computational Procedure: One-Way Classification 290

10.2.5 The Analysis of Varian Procedu 292

10.2.5.1 A Heuristic Justification 292

10.2.5.2 The Partition Theorem 293

10.2.6 Analysis of the Fixed Effects Model: One-Way Clas-sification 294

10.2.7 The OC Curve of the Analysis of Variance for the Fixed Effects Model 299

10.2.8 Example Using the Fixed Effects Model 305

10.2.9 Analysis of the Random Effects Model 307

10.2.10 The OC Curve for the Random Effects Model 307

10.2.11 Example Using the Random Effects Model 313

10.2.12 Randomization Tests in the Analysis of Variance 314

10.3 Two-Way Analysis of Variance, One Observation per Combina-tion 315

10.3.1 Fixed Effects Model 316

10.3.2 Random Effects Model 319

10.3.3 Mixed Fixed Effects and Random Effects Model 319

10.3.4 Computational Procedure, Two-Way Classification, One Observation per Combination 320

10.3.5 Analysis of the Fixed Effects Model, Two-Way Classification, One Observation per Combination 321

10.3.6 The OC Curve of the Analysis of Variance for the Fixed Effects Model: Two-Way Classification, One Observation per Combination 324

10.3.7 Example Using the Fixed Effects Model 325

10.3.8 Analysis of the Random Effects Model: Two-Way Classification, One Observation per Combination 327

10.3.9 The OC Curve for the Random Effects Model: Two-Way Classification 328

10.3.10 Example Using the Random Effects Model 329

10.3.11 Analysis of the Mixed Effects Model, Two-Way Classification, One Observation per Combination 330

10.3.12 The OC Curve of the Analysis of Variance for the Mixed Effects Model, Two-Way Classification, One Observation per Cell 331

10.3.13 Example Using the Mixed Effects Model 332

10.4 Two-Way Analysis of Variance, n Observations per Combination 332

10.4.1 Description of the Various Models 332

10.4.2 Computational Procedure, Two-Way Classification, n Observations per Cell 334

10.4.3 Analysis of the Fixed Effects Model, Two-WayClassification, n Observations per Combination 335

10.4.4 The OC Curve of the Analysis of Variance for the Fixed Effects Model, Two-Way Classification, n Observations per Cell 339

10.4.5 Example Using the Fixed Effects Model, Two-Way Classification, Three Observations per Combination 340

10.4.6 Analysis of the Random Effects Model, Two-Way Classification, n Observations per Combination 342

10.4.7 The OC Curve of the Random Effects Model, Two-Way Classification, n Observations per Combination 344

10.4.8 Example Using the Random Effects Model 345

10.4.9 Analysis of the Mixed Effects Model, Two-Way Classification, n Observations per Cell 345

10.4.10 The OC Curve of the Analysis of Variance for the Mixed Effects Model, Two-Way Classification, One Observation per Cell 347

10.4.11 Example Using the Mixed Effects Model 347

10.5 Summary of Models and Tests 349

Chapter ⅩⅠ Analysis of Enumeration Data 365

11.1 Enumeration Data 365

11.2 Chi-Square Tests 365

11.3 The Hypothesis Completely Specifies the Theoretical Frequency 366

11.3.1 Dichotomous Data 367

11.4 Test of Independence in a Two-Way Table 369

11.4.1 Computing Form for Test of Independence in a 2 by 2 Table 370

11.5 Comparison of Two Percentages 371

11.6 Confidence Intervals for Proportion 372

11.6.1 Exact Confidence Intervals for p 373

11.6.2 Normal Approximations to Confidence Intervals 373

Chapter ⅩⅡ Statistical Quality Control: Control Charts 378

12.1 Introduction 378

12.2 Obtaining Data From Rational Subgroups 378

12.3 Control Chart for Variables: ? - Charts 379

12.3.1 Statistical Concepts 379

12.3.2 Estimates of ?’ 381

12.3.3 Estimate of ?’ by ? 381

12.3.4 Estimate of ?’ by ? 383

12.3.5 Starting a Control Chart for ? 383

12.3.6 Relation Between Natural Tolerance Limits and Specification Limits 384

12.3.7 Interpretation of Control Charts for ? 385

12.4 R Charts and ? Charts 387

12.4.1 Statistical Concepts 387

12.4.2 Setting up a control chart for R or ? 388

12.5 Example of ? and R Chart 389

12.6 Control Chart For Fraction Defective 391

12.6.1 Relation Between Control Charts Based on Variables Data and Charts Based on Attributes Data 391

12.6.2 Statistical Theory 391

12.6.3 Starting the Control Chart 393

12.6.4 Continuing the p Chart 394

12.6.5 Example 395

12.7 Control Charts For Defects 395

12.7.1 Difference Between a Defect and a Defective 395

12.7.2 Statistical Theory 396

12.7.3 Starting and Continuing the c Chart 396

12.7.4 Example 396

Chapter ⅩⅢ Sampling lnspection 402

13.1 The Problem of Sampling Inspection 402

13.1.1 Introduction 402

13.1.2 Drawing the Sample 403

13.2 Lot-by-Lot Sampling Inspection by Attributes 404

13.2.1 Single Sampling Plans 404

13.2.1.1 Single Sampling 404

13.2.1.2 Choosing a Sampling Plan 406

13.2.1.3 Calculation of OC Curves for Single Sampling Plans 407

13.2.1.4 Example 407

13.2.2 Double Sampling Plans 413

13.2.2.1 Double Sampling 413

13.2.2.2 OC Curves for Double Sampling Plans 413

13.2.2.3 Example 414

13.2.3 Multiple Sampling Plans 415

13.2.4 Classification of Sampling Plans 416

13.2.4.1 Classification By AQL 416

13.2.4.2 Classification By LTPD 416

13.2.4.3 Classification By Point of Control 416

13.2.4.4 Classification By AOQL 417

13.2.5 Dodge-Romig Tables 418

13.2.5.1 Single Sampling Lot Tolerance Tables 418

13.2.5.2 Double Sampling Lot Tolerance Tables 421

13.2.5.3 Single Sampling AOQL Tables 421

13.2.5.4 Double Sampling AOQL Tables 421

13.2.6 Military Standard 105A 424

13.2.6.1 History 424

13.2.6.2 Classification of Defects 425

13.2.6.3 Acceptable Quality Levels 425

13.2.6.4 Normal, Tightened, and Reduced Inspection 426

13.2.6.5 Sampling Plans 427

13.2.7 Designing your Own Attribute Plan 432

13.2.7.1 Computing the OC Curve of a Single Sampling Plan 457

13.2.7.2 Finding a Sampling Plan Whose OC Curve Passes Through Two Points 457

13.2.7.3 Design of Item by Item Sequential Plans 464

13.3 Lot-By-Lot Sampling Inspection By Variables 467

13.3.1 Introduction 467

13.3.2 General Inspection Criteria 468

13.3.3 Estimates of the Percent Defective 470

13.3.3.1 Estimate of the Percent Defective when the Standard Deviation Is Unknown but Estimated by the Sample Standard Deviation 470

13.3.3.2 Estimate of the Percent Defective when the Standard Deviation Is Unknown but Estimated by the Average Range 471

13.3.3.3 Estimate of the Percent Defective when the Standard Deviation Is Known 489

13.3.4 Comparison of Variables Procedures with M and k 491

13.3.5 The Military Standard for Inspection by Variables,MIL-STD-414 492

13.3.5.1 Introduction 492

13.3.5.2 Section A— General Description of Sampling Plans 493

13.3.5.3 Section B — Variability Unknown,Standard Deviation Method 494

13.3.5.4 Section C — Variability Unknown, Range Method 510

13.3.5.5 Section D — Variability Known 511

13.3.5.6 Example Using MIL-STD-414 512

13.4 Continuous Sampling Inspection 513

13.4.1 Introduction 513

13.4.2 Dodge Continuous Sampling Plans 513

13.4.3 Multi-Level Sampling Plans 537

13.4.4 The Dodge CSP-1 Plan without Control 541

13.4.5 Wald-Wolfowitz Continuous Sampling Plans 542

13.4.6 Girshick Continuous Sampling Plan 543

13.4.7 Plans Which Provide for Termination of Production 544

Appendix 553

lndex 569