PART I. The Crisis of Containment: 1969-1972 1
I. President Nixon and the Shift to Modified Containment, 1969-1970 3
Assessment and Response: First Steps 5
The Ideal and the Real 9
Strategy in Practice, the China Connection 15
Vietnam and the Middle East Connection 25
Cambodian Crisis-Turning Point in the Vietnam War 33
The Decision to Uphold Lon Nol 41
2. Alliance Crisis and the Road to Detente, 1970-1971 46
Soviet Riposte in the Middle East: May-September 1970 47
Diversion and Counterdiversion in Cuba 58
Problems of Alliance and Collective Defense 63
Detente, Dependence, and Defense 69
Countering Fractionation in the Alliance 74
Raising the Price of Oil 78
Restructuring the International Monetary System 85
3. The Soviet Counterstrategy, 1971-1972 90
Strategic Watershed-the Twenty-Fourth Party Congress 91
Moscow's Decision Point in Vietnam 94
Structural Crisis in the Middle East 100
Opportunity to Restructure the South Asian Balance 105
Indo-Pakistani War and United States-Soviet Relations 109
Moscow Shifts Course in Vietnam 118
The Easter Invasion and the Prelude to Negotiations 125
The Moscow Summit and Vietnam 130
PART II. Detente And Transition: The Kissinger Shogunate, 1973-1976 197
6. War and Realignment, the Middle East, 1973 199
Impasse and Opportunity in the Middle East 204
Washington Prepares for Structural Change 209
Economic Contention in the Alliance 214
Toward October and Yom Kippur 221
Yom Kippur: Soviet and American Objectives 230
Superpower-Client Wartime Interaction 236
Endgame Crises: Superpower-Client Conflicts 244
8. The Failure of Trilateralism: 1973-1976 253
Yom Kippur and American-Israeli Relations 254
Impasse over the "Jordanian Option" 261
United States-Israeli Strategic Crisis 264
Intensification of Intra-allied Political Contention 274
Prodding the Allies into Disarray 278
High Oil Prices, Trade, and the Dollar 282
9. Detente and Tripolar Politics, 1973-I 976 289
The Economic Web of Detente 290
The Political-Economic Quid Pro Quo 294
Moscow's Missile Breakout and the United States Quandary 299
Chinese Expectations and american Policy in Asia 308
Moscow Probes for an Opening in Beijing 313
American Inaction in Vietnam and Beijing's Response 319
10.Angola and detente: The Politics of Desperation 325
Kissingcr's Angolan Gamble 326
Kissinger Rolls the Dice 328
The Secretary Raises the Stakes 332
Kissinger Throws Craps and Changes the Game 336
Washington Intervenes and Tips the Balance 340
Moscow Plays a'lrump: the Cuban Card 345
Kissinger, Angola, and Detente 350
Conclusion 356
NOTES 358
INDEX 407