PREFACE 7
ACKNOWLE DGMENTS 10
1. Introduction 12
2. Formulation of the Crime Model：Theoretical Foundations 19
Part Ⅰ A SYSTEMS APPROACH TO POLICY ISSUES 41
3. Defining Crime and Establishing Policies for Control 41
4. Establishing Monetary Measures of the Seriousness of Crime 53
5. The Determination of Community Prioritiesfor Fighting Crime 74
6. Choosing Between Alternative Programs to Control Hard Drugs 92
7. Extracting Useful Information from Crime Data 118
Part Ⅱ ECONOMETRIC STUDIES 151
8. Crime Generation and Economic Opportunities for Youth 151
9. The Deterioration of Law Enforcement Effectiveness 172
I0. Isolating Deterrence Using the Simultaneous Equation System 187
11. Controlling Homicide：Gun Control vs. Deterrence 202
12. Minimizing the Social Cost of Homicide 2236
13. Determining the Demand for Law Enforcement Personnel 234
14. Balancing the Effort Between Enforcement，Adjudication，and Corrections 262
15. The Continuing Quest for More Effective Crime Control 288
REFERENCES 297
INDEX 306
ABOUT THE AUTHORS 312