《模糊集、界壳论与气候建模》PDF下载

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  • 作  者:曹鸿兴等主编
  • 出 版 社:北京:气象出版社
  • 出版年份:2017
  • ISBN:9787502965440
  • 页数:232 页
图书介绍:本书为庆贺曹鸿兴研究员从事气象六十周年暨八十华诞而编辑。书中内容集中反映了曹鸿兴的工作历程和研究成果。由早期侧重于把新兴学科如模糊集理论、人工智能和现代概率统计应用到气象中,后来则开创自己的学术方向,如动力系统自忆性原理、界壳论。

1模糊集论及其气象应用 3

Some Applications of Fuzzy Sets to Meteorological Forecasting 3

A Technique for Verification of Weather Forecast and Climate Simulation With Fuzzy Sets 15

2天气分析和天气动力学 31

论台风的形成 31

中国梅雨期间50 hPa极地反气旋活动的初步研究 39

Spiral Structure in the Atmosphere Investigated from Periphery (Jieke) Theory 46

3气候动力学和气候模拟 55

Climate Effects of Nuclear War in China 55

Simulated Seasonal Movement of Precipitation Zone in Rainy Season over China 65

and its Change on CO2-Doubling 65

Climate Modeling in View of Non-Equilibrium Thermodynamics 72

Simulated Diurnal Range and Variability of Surface Temperature in a Global Climate Model for Present and Doubled CO2 Climates 78

4大气非线性和可预报性 83

Nonlinear Behaviour of Model Climate in Semi-Dynamical System 83

Nonlinearity with Memory in Climate Model 88

大气的不可预报性 94

5数理统计和预报 103

Statistic-Dynamic Weather Forecasting Treated as a Problem of Solving Random Difference Equations 103

估计模型维度的双评分准则及其应用 105

Time Series Model of Long-Range Prediction and Its Application 113

6人工智能预报和灰色建模 125

关于研制自预报机的建议 125

Mathematical Modelling of Subjective Weather Forecasting 127

A New Calculating Scheme for Grey Modeling 132

7动力系统自忆性原理 141

Self-Memorization Equation in Atmospheric Motion 141

Prediction of Precipitation in Summer with Self-Memorial Dynamic Model 152

Improving Weather Forecast in View of Atmospheric History 157

Investigation into Special Relativistic Equation on the Basis of Self-retrospection Principle 165

附文 关于“多时刻预报模式”的讨论 174

8界壳论及其应用 177

界壳现象及其学术框架 177

Modelling of a System Boundary 184

界壳之量化及其应用 190

附录 199

附录1学术著作目录 199

附录2个人年表 223

附录3随笔 227