Chapter 1 Land System and Research Plans 1
1.1 Land System 2
1.1.1 Structure of the Land System 2
1.1.2 Theory and Methodology of Land System Research 5
1.1.3 Procedures of Land System Research 7
1.1.4 Model Architecture of a Land System 9
1.1.5 Approaches to Land System Research 10
1.2 Research Plans and Achievements of the LUCC Plan 11
1.2.1 Identification of Land Uses 12
1.2.2 Progress of Land Use Research 17
1.2.3 Research Achievements of the LUCC Plan 22
1.3 The Global Land Project 25
1.3.1 Background 25
1.3.2 Formation and Development of the GLP 26
1.4 Summary 31
References 32
Chapter 2 Modeling Framework 41
2.1 Modeling Strategy at Regional and Pixel Scales 41
2.1.1 Modeling Procedures for Conversion from Pixel to Regional Scales 43
2.1.2 Accuracy Verification and Deduction from the Pixel Scale to the Regional Scale 46
2.2 Shift from Mechanism Analysis to Effects Assessment 51
2.2.1 Mechanism Analysis of the Dynamics of Land System Change 52
2.2.2 Effects Assessment 62
2.2.3 Multiple Scales in the Dynamics of Land System Change 69
2.2.4 Key Processes from the Mechanism Analysis to the Effects Assessment 72
2.3 Summary 81
References 82
Chapter 3 The CGELUC Model and Its Application 91
3.1 The CGELUC Model 91
3.1.1 Framework of the CGELUC Model 94
3.1.2 Modules of the CGELUC Model 99
3.2 The CGELUC Model Database 106
3.2.1 Database of Thematic Quantitative Analysis 106
3.2.2 The SAM 108
3.2.3 Preparation of the SAM Parameters 112
3.3 Methods of SAM Compilation 114
3.3.1 Compilation of the Macroscopic SAM 116
3.3.2 Subdivision of the Macroscopic SAM 119
3.3.3 Balancing the SAM 122
3.4 Summary 125
References 125
Chapter 4 The DLS Model and Its Application 129
4.1 Principles and Function Modules of the DLS Model 129
4.1.1 Fundamental Definition 129
4.1.2 Features of the DLS Model 130
4.1.3 Framework of the DLS Model 131
4.1.4 Application 132
4.1.5 Function Modules of the DLS Model 133
4.1.6 Explanatory Linear Model of Land Use Pattern 133
4.1.7 Explanatory Nonlinear Model of Land Use Pattern 136
4.1.8 Spatial Allocation of the Changing Area of Land Uses 143
4.2 DLS Installation and Configuration 146
4.2.1 DLS Installation 146
4.2.2 Configuring the DLS Operating Environment 147
4.3 DLS Input Parameter Preparation 148
4.3.1 Simulation Condition Setting Parameters 148
4.3.2 Spatial Analysis Parameters 149
4.3.3 Driving Factor Data 151
4.3.4 Land Demand Scenario Data 152
4.3.5 Restricted Region Code Data 152
4.3.6 Land Use Type Data 153
4.4 DLS Operation and Results Output 154
4.4.1 DLS Operation 154
4.4.2 Results Output 154
4.5 Summary 155
References 155
Chapter 5 Estimation System for Land Productivity and Its Applications 159
5.1 Estimation System for Land Productivity 160
5.1.1 Fundamental Principles 160
5.1.2 Parameters 162
5.1.3 Function Modules 163
5.2 Operation of the Estimation Model 169
5.2.1 Temperature Interpolation 170
5.2.2 LGP Identification 172
5.2.3 Radiation Data Preparation 173
5.2.4 Estimation of Effective Radiation 173
5.2.5 Potential Thermal Productivity 174
5.2.6 Potential Climate Productivity 175
5.2.7 Potential Land Productivity 175
5.2.8 Land Productivity 177
5.3 Summary 179
References 180
Chapter 6 Simulation of Structural Change in Land Use in Jiangxi Province Using the CGELUC Model 183
6.1 Design of the SAM in Jiangxi Province 184
6.1.1 Overview of Jiangxi Province 184
6.1.2 Compilation of the SAM in Jiangxi Province for 2007 185
6.2 Design of the CGELUC Model for Jiangxi Province 192
6.2.1 GAMS Operating Environment 192
6.2.2 Structure of the CGELUC Model for Jiangxi Province 194
6.2.3 Scenario Design 196
6.3 Analysis of Simulation Results of Land Use Structure in Jiangxi Province 198
6.3.1 Land Use Change Based on Different Scenarios 198
6.3.2 Comparative Analysis of Land Use Structure underDifferent Scenarios 203
6.4 Summary 206
References 206
Chapter 7 Modeling the Dynamics of the Land System in an Agriculture-Pasture Transition Zone in China 209
7.1 Taips League Background 209
7.1.1 Location 209
7.1.2 Climate 210
7.1.3 Terrain and Landform 213
7.1.4 Soil 215
7.1.5 Hydrology 216
7.1.6 Vegetation 217
7.1.7 Natural Disasters 217
7.2 Simulation of Land Use Pattern Changes in the Taips League 217
7.2.1 Data Preparation 217
7.2.2 Analysis of Driving Forces 226
7.2.3 Scenario Design 233
7.2.4 Conversion Rules 235
7.2.5 Simulation Results 235
7.3 Summary 237
References 238
Chapter 8 Estimation of the Impacts of Land System Change on Land Productivity in the North China Plain 241
8.1 Historical Land Productivity in the North China Plain 241
8.1.1 Overview of the North China Plain 242
8.1.2 Data and Processing 246
8.1.3 Estimation of Land Productivity in the 1990s 253
8.1.4 Validation of Land Productivity Results 255
8.2 Future Land Productivity 257
8.2.1 Data and Data Handling 257
8.2.2 Estimation Results for Land Productivity in 2010 258
8.2.3 Results of Estimation of Land Productivity in 2020 259
8.3 hnpact of Cultivated Land Use Change on Land Productivity 260
8.3.1 Simulation of Future Cultivated Land Use Change in the North China Plain 261
8.3.2 Analysis of the Effects of Cultivated Land Use Change on Total Land Productivity 263
8.3.3 Recommendations for Land Use Policies 266
8.4 Summary 267
References 268
Conclusions and Further Research 271
Appendix 1 VBA Program of RAS Method 277
Appendix 2 SAM of Jiangxi Province in 2007 281
Index 297