总序 1
Chapter 1 The Analysis on Consumption Structure of Rural and Urban Residents 1
1 The Static Analysis on Consumption Structure of Urban Residents 1
Preface 1
前言 1
第一章 城乡居民消费结构分析 1
一、城镇居民消费结构静态分析 1
二、城镇居民消费结构动态分析 10
2 The Dynamic Analysis on Consumption Structure of Urban Residents 10
三、农村居民消费结构动态分析 29
3 The Dynamic Analysis on Consumption Structure of Rural Residents 29
Chapter 2 The Trend of the Variation of Urban and Rural Residents Income in China 40
第二章 中国城乡居民收入变动趋势 40
1 The Current Situation of Distribution of Urban Residents Income and Its Trends 41
一、城镇居民收入分配现状和变化趋势 41
2 The Current Situation of Peasants Income Increase 56
二、农民收入增长的现状和变动趋势 56
Chapitr 3 The Prediction of Consumpion Structure of Rural and Urban Residents during the Period of the 10th 5-Year Plan 73
一、城乡居民消费结构变化数量预测 73
第三章 城乡居民“十五”时期消费结构预测 73
1 The Quantitative Prediction of Consumption Structute s Variation of Rural and Urban Residents 73
2 Several Trends of the Variation of Consumption Structure of Rural and Urban Residents 80
二、城乡居民消费结构变化的几大趋势 80
3 Policy Recommendation on Promoting the Escalation of Consumption Structure 96
三、促进消费结构升级的对策选择 96
Chapter 4 The Housing Demand in Urban Area 103
1 The Current Situation of China s Urban Housing Demand:Descriptive Analysis and International Comparison 103
一、中国城镇居民住宅消费的现状：描述性分析及国际比较 103
第四章 城镇住宅消费需求 103
二、中国城镇居民住宅消费的未来：2001～2005～2010年需求潜力预测 111
2 The Future Trend of China s Urban Housing Demand:A Prediction of Its Potentials During the Period of 2001 and 2010 111
3 Transfering the Potentials of Housing Demand into Effective One:Obstacles and How to Counter 124
三、住宅消费需求潜力向现实购买力的转化：阻碍因素与对策分析 124
4 A Simple Conclusion 194
四、简要的综述 194
Chapter 5 The Urban Residents Consumption on Communication and Telecommunication 200
1 The Current Situation and Features of Chinese Urban Resident s Consumption on Communication and Telecommunication 200
一、我国城镇居民交通通讯消费现状及特点 200
第五章 城镇交通通讯消费 200
二、交通通讯消费对刺激内需及促进经济增长的作用 207
2 The Role of the Consumption on Communication and Telecommunication in Stimulating Domestic Demand and Promoting Economic Growth 207
三、我国城镇居民交通通讯消费的热点和难点 215
四、政策建议 225
3 The Hot Points and Difficulties of China s Urban Residents Consumption on Communication And Telecommunication 225
4 Policy Recommendation 225
Chapter 6 The Consumption on Electronic Products 229
第六章 消费类电子产品 229
一、我国消费类电子产品消费现状 229
1 The Current Situation of Chinese Consumption on Electronic Products 229
2 The Changing Contributing Factors to Affect the Consumption on Electronic Products 245
二、中国消费类电子产品需求影响因素的可能变化 245
3 The Outlook for Chinese Consumption on Electronic Products From the 10th 5 Year Plan to 2015 249
三、“十五”至2015年中国消费类电子产品需求展望 249
4 The Policy Recommendation on Promoting Electronic Products Consumption 256
四、促进消费类电子产品消费的政策建议 256
Chapter 7 The Consumption Demand of Rural Residents 261
1 Six Trends of Rural Residents Consumption Structure at the Beginning of the 21st Century 261
一、21世纪初我国农村居民消费结构的六大趋势 261
第七章 农民消费需求 261
2 The Analysis on Consumption Demand Increase of Rural Residents:Advantages and Disadvantages 273
二、影响农民消费需求增长的有利因素与不利因素分析 277
3 The Policy for Expanding Consumption Demand of Rural Residents 287
三、扩大农村消费需求的对策 287
Chapter 8 Expanding Domestic Consumption Demand and Speeding up Urbanization Development 300
第八章 扩大消费内需与加快城市化发展 300
一、加快城市化进程是扩大内需的最有效途径 300
1 Speeding up the Process of Urbanization is the Most Effective Way to Expand Domestic Demand 300
二、变农民为市民应成为城市化方针的核心 305
2 Changing Peasants to Citizens is the Core of Urbanization Guideline 305
三、推进城市化进程需着力解决的几个问题 323
3 The Issues That Must be Properly Addressed in the Process of Urbanization 323
Chapter 9 Social Security and Household Consumption 332
第九章 社会保障与居民消费 332
一、中国社会保障制度现状以及面临的难题 332
1 The Current Situation and Problems of China s Social Security System 332
二、社会保障与居民消费关系的国际比较 338
2 The International Comparison of the Relationship Between Social Security System and Household Consumption 338
3 The Influence of China s Social Security System on Household Consumption 349
三、我国社会保障对居民消费的影响 349
4 Perfecting China s Social Security System to Lessen Residents Fear of Disturbance in the Rear 363
四、消除居民后顾之忧，完善我国社会保障体系 363
Chapter 10 The Potentials and Risks of Consumer Credit 371
1 The Basic Analysis on the Potential Demand of Consumer Credit in China 371
一、我国消费信贷需求潜力的基本分析 371
第十章 消费信贷潜力与风险 371
二、拓展消费信贷发展潜力的对策建议 378
2 The Policy for Expanding the Potentials of Consumer Credit 378
3 The Major Types of Consumer Credit Risks 386
三、消费信贷风险的主要类型 386
4 The Establishment of the Effective Anti-risk Mechanism of Consumer Credit 391
四、建立有效的消费信贷风险防范机制 391
Chapter 11 The Theory and Policy of Consumption Regulation in Western Countries 400
1 The Role and Position of Consumption Regulation in Macroeconmic Regulation 400
一、消费调控政策在宏观调控中的作用与地位 400
第十一章 西方消费调控的理论与政策 400
2 The Theory of Consumption Determination 403
二、消费决定理论 403
3 Consumption System 411
三、消费体制 411
4 The Policy Tools for Consumption Regulation 415
四、消费调控的政策工具 415
5 Linking Consumption Regulating Practices in Western Countries to China s Reality 423
五、西方消费调控政策的借鉴 423
Reference 426
附录：主要参考资料 426